Latest report
Riyadh under Houthi missile fire, Gulf tankers hit, mass drone waves on Ukraine
On 10 November the Saudi-led coalition said it intercepted Houthi missiles aimed at Riyadh, and Saudi officials reported minor debris damage to an Aramco tower; the Houthis claim four operations against Saudi targets, which are not independently confirmed. In Gulf waters, the UAE's state oil company said a vessel was damaged in an attack, a UK maritime agency reported a tanker struck off Oman, and Iran's Revolutionary Guards Navy claimed two tankers caught fire on mines. President Trump said the US will not launch a renewed offensive against Iran for now, while an Iranian official said no negotiations are under way. Independent analysts counted more than 300 drones launched at Ukraine across the night of 9 to 10 November and the following day, with trilateral talks continuing in Abu Dhabi. Research was thin or unavailable for several theaters, so quiet elsewhere is not confirmed.
- Russia and Ukraine
- Iran and the Gulf
- Red Sea and Yemen
- Korean Peninsula
- Israel, Gaza and Lebanon
- Sudan
How the reports are made
Each day MITHRIL reads the defense wire and researches every active theater separately for each side. Events are logged on a fixed severity scale, an activity index is computed from them, and the firm keeps a ledger of dated, checkable forecasts that are scored when they resolve.
Forward signals and probabilities are analytical judgments made by Lualdi Advisors from open information available on the report date. They can be wrong. This report is not investment, legal or security advice.
